Published and Accepted Papers

  • Satisficing with a Variable Threshold (with Levent Ulku) - Journal of Mathematical Economics, Vol. 87: 67-76, March 2020. slides

    • Idea: What can we say about a satisficer with an unobserved and changing notion of "good enough?"

  • The Focal Luce Model (with Gerelt Tserenjigmid) - American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, Vol. 14(3): 378-413, August 2022 - online appendix

    • Idea: Multinomial logit is great, but what if a decision maker pays more attention to some alternatives than others? It turns out you can identify these "focal" alternatives and distinguish utility from bias.

  • A Model of Stochastic Choice from Lists (with Levent Ulku and Yuhta Ishii) - forthcoming at Journal of Mathematical Economics - slides

    • Idea: Menu variation is great, but what if all you can change is the order of alternatives? Can we still learn about preferences? Yes.

Working Papers (My arXiv page)

  • Inertial Updating (with Adam Dominiak and Gerelt Tserenjigmid)

    • draft coming soon!

  • Ordered Surprises and Conditional Probability Systems (with Adam Dominiak and Gerelt Tserenjigmid) - under review

    • Idea: How do you revise your beliefs when you're surprised? We introduce a notion of ordered (im)possibility and show that it provides a simpler foundation for CPS.

  • Conservative Updating - under review

    • Idea: Some people do not change their beliefs enough when provided information . Here's a preference based characterization of such behavior.

  • Ambiguity and Partial Bayesian Updating - revise and resubmit at Economic Theory.

    • Idea: How should a set of beliefs be updated? One way is to first select those that are "pretty likely" given the data, then use Bayes' rule. You can find a behavioral analysis of this and more inside.

  • Reference Dependence and Random Attention (with Elchin Suleymanov) -revise and resubmit at Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization.

    • Idea: How does a status quo interact with random attention?

    • This paper combines and supersedes "Thinking Inside the Box: Status Quo Bias and Stochastic Consideration" (Kovach 2016) and "Stochastic Attention and Search" (Suleymanov 2018).

Work in Progress

  • Regret and Bounded Rationality In Games: The Focal Quantal Response Equilibrium (with Gerelt Tserenjigmid) - slides

  • Sincerity and the Doctrinal Paradox (with Alan Miller) - slides

  • Motivated Reasoning in Probability Updating (An experiment, with Matthew Chao)

    • This study is supported by a grant from the Moore Foundation

  • Frame Sensitive Voters and Electoral Competition

Permanent Working Papers

  • Thinking Inside the Box: Status Quo Bias and Stochastic Consideration - working paper - these results have been incorporated into "Reference Dependence and Random Attention."