Published and Accepted Papers:
Twisting the Truth: Foundations of Wishful Thinking - Theoretical Economics, Vol. 15(3): 989–1022, July 2020. paper
This was previously titled "The Imbalanced Luce Model."
Conservative Updating - paper - under review
This was previously titled "Sticky Beliefs: A Characterization of Conservative Updating."
Thinking Inside the Box: Status Quo Bias and Stochastic Consideration - paper New version coming soon!
Ambiguity and Partial Bayesian Updating - paper
Work in Progress:
Sincerity and the Doctrinal Paradox (joint with Alan Miller) - slides
General Belief Updating (joint with Gerelt Tserenjigmid)
Stochastic Choice with an Initial Endowment
Motivated Reasoning in Probability Updating (An experiment, with Matthew Chao)
This study is supported by a grant from the Moore Foundation
Frame Sensitive Voters and Electoral Competition