Working Papers (My arXiv page)
Inertial Updating with General Information (with Adam Dominiak and Gerelt Tserenjigmid) - Revise and Resubmit at American Economic Review
Idea: You are told that some outcome of interest will occur with some range of probabilities. How do you update your beliefs? The answer to this and a characterization of f-divergences inside.
This paper was previously titled Minimum Distance Updating With General Information.
Inertial Updating (with Adam Dominiak and Gerelt Tserenjigmid) - NEW!
Idea: A framework for belief updating unifying Bayesian and non-Bayesian updating rules, along with rules for updating on null-events.
Learning Source Biases: Multisource Misspecifications and Their Impact on Predictions (with Junnan He, Lin Hu and Anqi Li) - Revise and Resubmit at American Economic Review
Learning to be Homo Economicus: Can an LLM Learn Preferences from Choice Data? (with Jeongbin Kim, Kyu-Min Lee, Euncheol Shin, and Hector Tzavellas) - Revise and Resubmit at The Review of Economics and Statistics
Conservative Updating - under revision
Idea: Some people do not change their beliefs enough when provided information . Here's a preference based characterization of such behavior.
Selling to Wishful Thinkers (with Tommy Chan) - coming soon, preliminary draft available upon request.
Idea: Some people are overestimate the chances of good events. You can exract surplus from such wishful thinkers by introducing uncertainty.
The Focal Quantal Response Equilibrium (with Gerelt Tserenjigmid) - under review - NEW!
Idea: Some options draw more attention than others, even after controlling for their utilities. We incorporate this idea into a strategic setting and show accounting for focality explains some experimenal findings.